基于机器学习的规则RC框架震前经济损失评估

PRE-EARTHQUAKE ECONOMIC LOSS ASSESSMENT OF REGULAR RC FRAME STRUCTURES BASED ON MACHINE LEARNING

  • 摘要: 地震往往造成严重的经济损失和人员伤亡,为评估城市地震损失、给防灾规划提供依据,有必要对城市建筑群进行快速、准确的震前经济损失评估。针对城市建筑群中最常见的规则钢筋混凝土(RC)框架结构,该研究建立了一种基于机器学习的震前经济损失评估方法,主要内容包括:建立了规则RC框架结构地震经济损失数据库,考虑了结构构件和非结构构件的地震反应;基于该数据库,采用三种不同机器学习算法建立了规则RC框架结构地震经济损失预测模型。对比模型性能,发现极端梯度提升(XGB)算法在三种机器学习算法预测地震经济损失中表现较好,决定系数R2达到0.99。

     

    Abstract: Earthquakes claimed severe economic losses and casualties. To assess urban earthquake damage and support disaster mitigation planning, it is necessary to conduct rapid and accurate pre-earthquake economic loss assessments for urban building clusters. For the most popularly used regular reinforced concrete (RC) frame structures in urban building clusters, this study proposed a machine learning-based method for pre-earthquake economic loss assessment. The main contents included: Establishing a seismic economic loss database for regular RC frame structures, in which the seismic responses of structural and non-structural components were considered; Based on this database, establishing the seismic economic loss prediction models for regular RC frame structures using three different machine learning algorithms. By comparing the performances of the models, it is found that the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) algorithm performed well among the three machine learning algorithms in predicting economic losses, with an R2 value of 0.99.

     

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